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Multiple Banks Collapse and U.S. Equities Markets Go…Up?!? By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

/ 4 minutes of reading

In the wake of the sudden Silicon Valley Bank collapse (followed by other banks in the U.S. and abroad), a surprising resilience has emerged within the U.S. stock market. Defying the naysayers, the market has not only weathered the banking storm so far but has also produced positive returns just a little more than two weeks into this financial reckoning. There are two short-term money trends that help us understand this rebound and two associated indications that will point to whether the market can keep up the revival, or if […]

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Update on Cryptocurrencies March 19th, 2023 By, Nolan Loxton

/ 14 minutes of reading

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. In July 2021 the S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Market (BDM) Index (Ticker: SPCBDM) launched with the objective of being a broad investable digital asset universe benchmark. The index launched on July 13th, 2021, and has a 10-year history based on the index methodology on the launch date. Courtesy of S&P Dow Jones Indices, spglobal.com The index had a notable peak in May 2021 of 5,547 and then dropped significantly until July 2021. On November 9th, it

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That Bird Looked a Lot Like a Black Swan – What Next? By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

/ 4 minutes of reading

Once-in-a-lifetime events seem to be coming every week lately… Nassim Taleb defines a black swan event as an event that is unpredictable, has a massive impact, and after it happens, people try to rationalize it as if it could have been predicted. According to Taleb, the three traits of a black swan event are rarity, unpredictability and severe consequences. It’s not hard to remember this type of disruptive event. Think back to 1987 and Black Monday. Or several moves in the market dives of 2000 and 2008, the flash Crash

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Solving Problems and Makin’ Bacon By, Nolan Loxton

/ 11 minutes of reading

What is the problem we are trying to solve with trading? The basic problem boils down to cash flow. Like any business, however, you don’t just end up with a cash cow. There’s a process. First, you adopt a newborn calf and gently nurture it. As your calf grows, and begins to generate cash, it can start supplementing your salary. Eventually, Daisy is weaned and has enough cash flow to replace your salary entirely. Then you enter the next phase by breaking the correlation conundrum between your time and darling

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The Line That Keeps Showing Up on So Many Charts… By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

/ 3 minutes of reading

Six years ago, I covered the origin story of the saying “Draw a line in the sand”. As I’ve been doing my normal chart scans over the past couple of weeks, I’ve been struck by how often a “line in the sand” keeps showing up. The line that I’m seeing is the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). I’d like to revisit this very interesting and useful idea from a couple of perspectives: Why certain indicators seem to be more important than others. Revisiting the S&P 500 chart we looked at

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