Monthy Market Updates and SQN Reports

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. Part I: The World Market Model What did September bring to the markets? Well, in case you have missed the news lately, there’s a lot going on in the world. When you look at the World Market Model below, however, the table looks pretty similar to the tables from a number of months this year—lots of red and brown and some yellow symbols. In the last few months, there’s been only one green ETF—UUP. But […]

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. Part I: The World Market Model For three months in a row, one symbol in the above table has been green. The US Dollar. That has a major impact on the entire model and, in fact, on the entire global economy. Last month, we had a lot more yellow symbols while this month, we have only a handful. The predominance of red and brown symbols tells us that bearishness has returned to the global markets. The

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. Part I: The World Market Model At the end of June, the only green field in the World Market Model was the US Dollar and most of the tables below were red. The end of July has the same single green symbol (UUP) in the model, however, red no longer dominates the tables. Now we see quite a bit of brown and yellow. That’s not healthy yet, but at least better than June. Let’s take a

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here.   Part I: The World Market Model What do you see when you look at the world market model table for the last day in June? Look hard. In the whole wide world, do you see the solitary green Market SQN® score? In all the equity markets around the globe, among all the currencies, and within all the equity segments and equity sectors in the US markets and globally, there’s only one Market SQN score that

Part I: The World Market Model Let’s take a look at the global situation (literally and figuratively) via Van’s World Market Model. If you remember April’s tables, May’s tables will seem pretty familiar. Asian equities are brown and red. All the US equity segments are brown. Europe and Africa are mostly brown and red. The lone geographic segment with all positive Market SQN scores again was the Americas (except for the US). Brazil really bucked the trend with a very strong score. So, unless you owned Central/South American companies, May

Part I: The World Market Model Stepping back from the US equities, let’s start this month’s update with a look at the markets globally via the World Market Model. The model uses Van’s Market SQN® methodology which evaluates trend and volatility for the last 100 trading days in a single score. He added colors to help with a quick indication in the model about how each market is performing. The model uses ETF symbols as proxies for what’s happening in the markets. As you look at the following table, what

Part I: The Big Picture Here are some of the primary elements for the big picture right now: The yield curve has inverted in certain maturity combinations already, with a definitive inversion likely coming. The inflation rate is higher in the US than it has been in decades and has a higher forecast number than other developed countries. (Have you heard the word “transitory” combined with “inflation” lately?) Interest rates are still very low compared to recent decades; however, they have been rising and will continue to rise. The Fed